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Trader profile

PantheraUncia

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$193.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…20 open · 22% underwater · 6 hours ago
Lifetime volume$24M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded239Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+7.5% / $95% interval −124.8% to +139.9%90 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+8.5%n=66 settled
Politics
+2.8%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$172.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$21.1K
Concentration
33.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
21
Showing the largest 8 of 21
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$58.3KPnL+$17.2KAvg36.1¢Current51.2¢114,004.81Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$19.2KPnL+$2KAvg86¢Current96¢19,999.82Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
NoValue$16.7KPnL+$2.3KAvg76.2¢Current88.5¢18,822.31Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$16.3KPnL−$5.9KAvg11.9¢Current8.8¢186,359.03Shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$14KPnL+$3.2KAvg4.7¢Current6.2¢227,002.37Shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$12.8KPnL+$2.4KAvg4.1¢Current5.1¢253,408.23Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$7.9KPnL+$253Avg36.9¢Current38.2¢20,813.78Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
YesValue$7.6KPnL−$2.2KAvg34.4¢Current26.5¢28,528.71Shares
Showing 8 of 21 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet PantheraUncia: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +7.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −124.8%, n=90 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+8.5% over 66 fills); +$193.9K lifetime P&L, $24M traded, updated 2026-09-23.