PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xce80…08ed

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$55.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$799.7K290 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded164Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−25.0% / $95% interval −48.4% to −1.6%14 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−25.0%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$124.8K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
63
Showing the largest 8 of 63
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Team Falcons · NoValue$0PnL−$246Avg55¢Current0¢447.27Shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner
Monte · NoValue$0PnL−$250Avg33¢Current0¢757.58Shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
9z · NoValue$0PnL−$5KAvg50.6¢Current0¢9,869.92Shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner
Team Falcons · NoValue$0PnL−$6.1KAvg41.3¢Current0¢14,761.21Shares
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
3DMAXValue$0PnL−$578Avg54.1¢Current0¢1,069.36Shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Aurora Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$196Avg28¢Current0¢701.54Shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Team Falcons · NoValue$0PnL−$2.4KAvg49¢Current0¢4,808.49Shares
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner
BetBoom Team · NoValue$0PnL−$200Avg20¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Showing 8 of 63 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xce807492bc13b9954fd353cc132eece6251a08ed: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −25.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −48.4%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−25.0% over 14 fills); −$55.4K lifetime P&L, $799.7K traded, updated 2026-09-24.