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Trader profile

Bismarckia

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$249Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet8 open · 14% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$43.9K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded164Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$43
Snapshot cash PnL
−$562
Concentration
35.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
82
Showing the largest 8 of 82
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 28?
NoValue$15PnL+$0.44Avg97¢Current100¢14.99Shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28?
YesValue$10PnL+$0.70Avg93¢Current100¢10Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 4°C on September 28?
YesValue$8PnL+$6Avg21¢Current99.5¢7.66Shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 29?
YesValue$6PnL+$0.16Avg18¢Current18.5¢32.63Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 10°C on September 29?
YesValue$3PnL+$1Avg1¢Current1.6¢178Shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 29?
YesValue$0.67PnL+$0.13Avg0.2¢Current0.3¢269.16Shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 29?
YesValue$0.52PnL+$0.31Avg0.1¢Current0.3¢208.59Shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 27?
YesValue$0PnL−$43Avg0.9¢Current0¢4,945.26Shares
Showing 8 of 82 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Bismarckia: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$249 lifetime P&L, $43.9K traded, updated 2026-09-28.