PolyTrace
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Trader profile

honey-spot

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$110.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded75Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.5% / $95% interval −304.8% to +259.7%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−14.0%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$46.7K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
89
Showing the largest 8 of 89
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$575Avg38.8¢Current0¢1,483.01Shares
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Iron Wing · YesValue$0PnL−$2.5KAvg45.6¢Current0¢5,555Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$150Avg35.7¢Current0¢419.87Shares
Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$21Avg21.4¢Current0¢96.35Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg53.8¢Current0¢92.91Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$613Avg47.9¢Current0¢1,279.3Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
DownValue$0PnL−$40Avg12.3¢Current0¢321Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg19.5¢Current0¢51.31Shares
Showing 8 of 89 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet honey-spot: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −22.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −304.8%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−14.0% over 13 fills); +$110.1K lifetime P&L, $2.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.