PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xce36…2b99

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$128.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate30.5%325 settled · past 90 days0 open · 22 days ago
Lifetime volume$7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded375Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.5% / $95% interval −83.6% to +60.5%301 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−10.2%n=247 settled
Crypto
−15.4%n=53 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 30.5% · Decided 325 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded6 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$12.3K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
12
Showing the largest 8 of 12
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg11.1¢Current0¢901.24Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$750Avg27.6¢Current0¢2,719.06Shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers · YesValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg35.2¢Current0¢4,550.89Shares
Hawaii vs. Stanford
Hawaii · YesValue$0PnL−$4.3KAvg30.3¢Current0¢14,095.38Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$180Avg39.6¢Current0¢453.94Shares
North Carolina vs. TCU
TCU · NoValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg22.4¢Current0¢8,279.58Shares
Saints vs. Cowboys
Cowboys · NoValue$0PnL−$928Avg23.8¢Current0¢3,904.94Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$912Avg29.9¢Current0¢3,049.6Shares
Showing 8 of 12 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xce363bb68fb796127322843b4e1848c98b442b99: 30.5% win rate over 325 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −11.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −83.6%, n=301 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−10.2% over 247 fills); −$128.8K lifetime P&L, $7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.