PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xce1f…910f

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$9.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…1 open · 100% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$60.4K51 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded27Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.6% / $95% interval −635.4% to +610.2%12 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−12.6%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$0.13
Snapshot cash PnL
−$13.5K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
NoValue$0.13PnL−$0.87Avg4.6¢Current0.6¢21.74Shares
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz · NoValue$0PnL−$2.8KAvg64.2¢Current0¢4,407.57Shares
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula · NoValue$0PnL−$9Avg36¢Current0¢25.53Shares
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
YesValue$0PnL−$206Avg13.1¢Current0¢1,565.08Shares
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov
Karen Khachanov · NoValue$0PnL−$441Avg20¢Current0¢2,207.25Shares
US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova
Karolina Muchova · NoValue$0PnL−$8Avg60¢Current0¢13.33Shares
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina
Qinwen Zheng · YesValue$0PnL−$944Avg27¢Current0¢3,495.56Shares
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10?
YesValue$0PnL−$250Avg28¢Current0¢892.86Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xce1f2039f81a7510f01695db5f59e1f8db44910f: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −12.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −635.4%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−12.6% over 12 fills); −$9.5K lifetime P&L, $60.4K traded, updated 2026-09-23.