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Trader profile

momo513

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$5.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate83%235 settled · past 180 days123 open · 44% underwater · 23 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded693Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+93.9% / $95% interval −90.8% to +278.6%167 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
+689.7%n=13 settled
Sports
−3.0%n=26 settled
Politics
−10.2%n=74 settled
Finance
−16.5%n=36 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 83% · Decided 235 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded23 hours ago
Current position value
$138.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$711
Concentration
11.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
123
Showing the largest 8 of 123
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
NoValue$16.2KPnL−$38Avg96.3¢Current96.1¢16,902.03Shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
NoValue$12.4KPnL+$36Avg95.5¢Current95.8¢12,916.39Shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
NoValue$3KPnL+$57Avg97.9¢Current99.8¢3,004.07Shares
Iran leadership change by September 30?
NoValue$3KPnL+$281Avg90¢Current99.4¢3,000Shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
NoValue$3KPnL+$68Avg97.1¢Current99.4¢3,000Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
NoValue$3KPnL+$40Avg98.2¢Current99.6¢2,987.13Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$3KPnL+$241Avg90.7¢Current98.7¢3,006.97Shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
NoValue$3KPnL+$99Avg95.2¢Current98.6¢3,000.21Shares
Showing 8 of 123 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet momo513: 83% win rate over 235 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +93.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −90.8%, n=167 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (+689.7% over 13 fills); +$5.3K lifetime P&L, $2.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.