PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Ahpo

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$127.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate91.4%465 settled · past 90 days32 open · 49% underwater · 11 hours ago
Lifetime volume$17.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded106Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.2% / $95% interval −187.9% to +175.5%258 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+19.7%n=64 settled
Sports
+1.0%n=46 settled
Finance
−21.6%n=139 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 91.4% · Decided 465 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$80.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1.1K
Concentration
56.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
32
Showing the largest 8 of 32
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$45.6KPnL+$20.6KAvg50¢Current91.3¢50,000Shares
NoValue$6.4KPnL+$181Avg96.4¢Current99.2¢6,491.89Shares
NoValue$5.2KPnL+$217Avg88.6¢Current92.5¢5,616.06Shares
YesValue$4.4KPnL−$20.6KAvg50¢Current8.8¢50,000Shares
NoValue$3.8KPnL+$301Avg82.2¢Current89.3¢4,281.49Shares
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$32Avg95.9¢Current97¢2,840.77Shares
NoValue$2.6KPnL+$100Avg83.2¢Current86.5¢3,000Shares
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$58Avg72.7¢Current75.5¢2,022.09Shares
Showing 8 of 32 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Ahpo: 91.4% win rate over 465 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −6.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −187.9%, n=258 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+19.7% over 64 fills); +$127.6K lifetime P&L, $17.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.