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Trader profile

JoeMaserati

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$33.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate93.4%499 settled · past 90 days8 open · 14% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,208Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.9% / $95% interval −149.9% to +114.1%24 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.4%n=11 settled
Politics
−22.5%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 31 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 93.4% · Decided 499 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$3.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$283
Concentration
42%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$261Avg83¢Current99.3¢1,599.99Shares
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
YesValue$769PnL−$54Avg91.5¢Current85.5¢899.99Shares
Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
YesValue$421PnL+$7Avg97.3¢Current98.9¢425.7Shares
Will the Baltimore Orioles clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
NoValue$370PnL+$4Avg98.4¢Current99.4¢372.5Shares
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
YesValue$365PnL+$10Avg95.4¢Current98.2¢371.21Shares
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
NoValue$149PnL+$51Avg61¢Current92.5¢160.97Shares
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
YesValue$98PnL+$6Avg92¢Current98¢100Shares
Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
YesValue$18PnL−$0.70Avg68¢Current65.5¢28.05Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet JoeMaserati: 93.4% win rate over 499 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −17.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −149.9%, n=24 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.4% over 11 fills); −$33.9K lifetime P&L, $2.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.