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Trader profile

Donkey14

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$164KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.2%280 settled · past 90 days7 open · 1% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$9.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded271Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.2% / $95% interval −11.8% to +7.4%501 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.2%n=501 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 32 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.2% · Decided 280 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$177K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1M
Concentration
23.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
97
Showing the largest 8 of 97
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
Athletics · NoValue$41.4KPnL+$15.9KAvg56¢Current91¢45,454.54Shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
Athletics · NoValue$37.1KPnL+$17.1KAvg45¢Current83.5¢44,444.44Shares
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres · YesValue$32.4KPnL+$12.4KAvg33¢Current53.5¢60,605.94Shares
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
San Diego Padres · NoValue$30.6KPnL+$9.8KAvg51¢Current75¢40,816.3Shares
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros · YesValue$25.9KPnL+$5.9KAvg46¢Current59.5¢43,478.26Shares
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)
Houston Astros · NoValue$8.1KPnL+$1.9KAvg63¢Current82¢9,930.37Shares
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners · NoValue$1.5KPnL−$502Avg54¢Current40.5¢3,717.04Shares
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets
New York Mets · NoValue$0PnL−$21.7KAvg52¢Current0¢41,666.65Shares
Showing 8 of 97 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Donkey14: 53.2% win rate over 280 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −2.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −11.8%, n=501 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.2% over 501 fills); +$164K lifetime P&L, $9.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.