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Trader profile

sweetcaroline

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$32.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate96%2,062 settled · past 90 days4 open · 0% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$18.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,000Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.5% / $95% interval −2.2% to +1.3%583 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−0.5%n=583 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 96% · Decided 2,062 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$4.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$304
Concentration
32.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
4
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Chicago White Sox · YesValue$1.3KPnL+$77Avg94¢Current99.8¢1,329.8Shares
Arizona Diamondbacks · YesValue$1.1KPnL+$88Avg87¢Current94.5¢1,166.77Shares
Indiana Fever · NoValue$1KPnL+$28Avg97.2¢Current100¢1,003.04Shares
Timo Legout · YesValue$620PnL+$112Avg81.9¢Current100¢620.34Shares
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet sweetcaroline: 96% win rate over 2,062 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −0.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −2.2%, n=583 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−0.5% over 583 fills); −$32.7K lifetime P&L, $18.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.