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Trader profile

justdance

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.9MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.3%3,660 settled · past 90 days71 open · 20% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$123.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded489Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+19.6% / $95% interval +0.7% to +38.5%1,107 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+52.8%n=18 settled
Crypto
+18.4%n=1,089 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.3% · Decided 3,660 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$258.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$701.5K
Concentration
8%
Largest share of value
Positions
2,047
Showing the largest 8 of 2,047
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$20.8KPnL+$901Avg93.9¢Current98.2¢21,155.18Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$16.3KPnL+$1.5KAvg85.2¢Current93.5¢17,468.67Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?
NoValue$16KPnL+$4.3KAvg72¢Current98.4¢16,216.49Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$14.8KPnL+$654Avg95¢Current99.4¢14,871.28Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
NoValue$14.6KPnL+$2.9KAvg67.5¢Current84.1¢17,414.1Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$13.4KPnL+$447Avg94¢Current97.3¢13,762.57Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$12.5KPnL+$832Avg89.9¢Current96.4¢12,983.77Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?
NoValue$12.2KPnL+$4.7KAvg58.5¢Current94.5¢12,929.73Shares
Showing 8 of 2,047 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet justdance: 53.3% win rate over 3,660 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +19.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +0.7%, n=1,107 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (+18.4% over 1,089 fills); +$1.9M lifetime P&L, $123.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.