PolyTrace
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Trader profile

hose

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$51.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50%102 settled · past 180 days22 open · 30% underwater · 23 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$7.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded287Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+16.9% / $95% interval −397.0% to +430.9%43 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+16.9%n=43 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50% · Decided 102 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete23 minutes ago
Current position value
$232.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$19.4K
Concentration
33.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
22
Showing the largest 8 of 22
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$77.3KPnL+$17KAvg39.9¢Current51.2¢151,121.28Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$76.8KPnL+$4.1KAvg90.8¢Current96¢80,023.77Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$23.2KPnL−$14.2KAvg24.8¢Current15.4¢151,120.56Shares
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
YesValue$18.7KPnL+$4.7KAvg69.1¢Current92.5¢20,223.42Shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
NoValue$12.7KPnL+$1.3KAvg84.8¢Current94.5¢13,406.51Shares
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?
NoValue$4.8KPnL+$690Avg80¢Current93.5¢5,105.53Shares
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
NoValue$4.5KPnL+$2.7KAvg34.8¢Current89¢5,003.36Shares
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
YesValue$4.4KPnL+$2.2KAvg41.1¢Current83¢5,258.55Shares
Showing 8 of 22 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet hose: 50% win rate over 102 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +16.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −397.0%, n=43 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+16.9% over 43 fills); +$51.6K lifetime P&L, $7.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.