Complete7 minutes ago
- Current position value
- $0
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$6.9K
- Concentration
- — Largest share of value
- Positions
- 30 Showing the largest 8 of 30
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Showing 8 of 30 positions by current value
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Trader profile
larkspur
DirectionalHistorical record
Profitable historically.
Lifetime PnL+$73.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.5%97 settled · past 180 days0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded202Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−10.3% / $95% interval −98.8% to +78.1%111 settled fills · 90d window
- Crypto
- −8.4%n=66 settled
- Finance
- −10.8%n=44 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.
Measured 4 hours ago
How this record is measured
Win rate 49.5% · Decided 97 · 180d
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
Loading tracked activity…
Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
unavailable — The settled result could not be read for this trade.
$2.6Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$4.3Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1.1Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$16.4Kno result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$9.5KReduce
About this wallet
Wallet larkspur: 49.5% win rate over 97 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −10.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −98.8%, n=111 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−8.4% over 66 fills); +$73.5K lifetime P&L, $2.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.