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Trader profile

HOG993

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$132.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate30.4%652 settled · past 90 days81 open · 92% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$186M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded195Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+6.0% / $95% interval −73.0% to +85.1%283 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+6.0%n=283 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 30.4% · Decided 652 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$46.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$89K
Concentration
37.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
134
Showing the largest 8 of 134
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$17.6KPnL−$23.3KAvg50¢Current21.5¢81,651.53Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$9KPnL+$202Avg50¢Current51.2¢17,591.74Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$8.6KPnL−$202Avg50¢Current48.9¢17,591.74Shares
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$2.3KPnL+$1.2KAvg1.4¢Current2.9¢82,298.7Shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$2.2KPnL−$5.9KAvg50¢Current13.5¢16,222Shares
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$1.4KPnL+$740Avg1.4¢Current3.1¢45,617.11Shares
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$455Avg1.4¢Current2.3¢55,382.77Shares
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$730PnL+$532Avg1.2¢Current4.5¢16,222Shares
Showing 8 of 134 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet HOG993: 30.4% win rate over 652 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +6.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −73.0%, n=283 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+6.0% over 283 fills); +$132.5K lifetime P&L, $186M traded, updated 2026-09-23.