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Trader profile

nibelung.retired

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$30.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate83.7%449 settled · past 180 days20 open · 48% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded502Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 83.7% · Decided 449 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$88K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$103.7K
Concentration
32.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
30
Showing the largest 8 of 30
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?
NoValue$28.9KPnL+$117Avg98.5¢Current99¢29,215.65Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$26.1KPnL+$9.7KAvg50¢Current79.4¢32,917Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$6.8KPnL−$9.7KAvg50¢Current20.7¢32,917Shares
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
NoValue$4.5KPnL−$9Avg99¢Current98.8¢4,507Shares
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-42 House seat?
YesValue$3.3KPnL+$16Avg95¢Current95.5¢3,471.87Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
NoValue$3.2KPnL+$177Avg91¢Current96.4¢3,290.04Shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$3.1KPnL+$217Avg86¢Current92.5¢3,333Shares
Will the Republican Party win the CA-42 House seat?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$36Avg95¢Current96.3¢2,869.1Shares
Showing 8 of 30 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet nibelung.retired: 83.7% win rate over 449 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$30.9K lifetime P&L, $3.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.