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Trader profile

gabmlergao

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$64.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.6%1,015 settled · past 180 days4 open · 97% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,479Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.9% / $95% interval −257.5% to +219.7%66 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−18.9%n=66 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.6% · Decided 1,015 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$331
Snapshot cash PnL
−$299.3K
Concentration
30.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
567
Showing the largest 8 of 567
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers
Washington Nationals · YesValue$101PnL+$1Avg39¢Current39.5¢256.41Shares
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
Over · YesValue$100PnL$0Avg52¢Current52¢192.31Shares
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side - Game 2 Winner
The Otter Side · NoValue$98PnL−$2Avg67.8¢Current66.5¢147.56Shares
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner
Luminosity · YesValue$32PnL−$48Avg45¢Current18¢177.78Shares
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins · YesValue$0PnL−$2.2KAvg52¢Current0¢4,230.77Shares
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg43¢Current0¢465.12Shares
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees · YesValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg57.1¢Current0¢3,290.64Shares
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox · YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg51¢Current0¢392.16Shares
Showing 8 of 567 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet gabmlergao: 48.6% win rate over 1,015 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −18.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −257.5%, n=66 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−18.9% over 66 fills); −$64.3K lifetime P&L, $2.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.