PolyTrace
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Trader profile

lelimarket

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$7.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.4%101,945 settled · past 90 days1 open · 100% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$5.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded5,971Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+6.4% / $95% interval −211.1% to +223.9%38 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
+6.4%n=38 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.4% · Decided 101,945 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded2 days ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$111
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$311.9K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
67.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Down · NoValue$75PnL+$75Avg0¢Current100¢75Shares
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
DownValue$30PnL+$15Avg50.9¢Current100¢30Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Up · YesValue$5PnL−$13Avg50¢Current14.5¢37Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
DownValue$0.79PnL−$33Avg21.6¢Current0.5¢158.21Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$15Avg50¢Current0¢30Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$120Avg57.4¢Current0¢208.36Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$23Avg43.4¢Current0¢52Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$39Avg31.9¢Current0¢121.79Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lelimarket: 47.4% win rate over 101,945 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +6.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −211.1%, n=38 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (+6.4% over 38 fills); +$7.3K lifetime P&L, $5.3M traded, updated 2026-09-22.