PolyTrace
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Trader profile

52centis

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$47.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…9 open · 100% underwater · 23 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded171Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.7% / $95% interval −192.7% to +159.4%68 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−11.1%n=23 settled
Politics
−16.0%n=45 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded23 hours ago
Current position value
$23.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$12.2K
Concentration
73.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
NoValue$17.3KPnL−$6.4KAvg39.1¢Current28.5¢60,719.06Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
NoValue$3.9KPnL−$4.5KAvg29¢Current13.5¢28,860.45Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
YesValue$950PnL−$50Avg10¢Current9.5¢9,995.32Shares
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$785PnL−$215Avg12.1¢Current9.5¢8,262.09Shares
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?
YesValue$418PnL−$347Avg13¢Current7.1¢5,884.32Shares
Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$136PnL−$84Avg18.5¢Current11.5¢1,185.99Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
NoValue$44PnL−$21Avg33¢Current22.5¢196.12Shares
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?
YesValue$40PnL−$112Avg10¢Current2.6¢1,519.15Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 52centis: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −16.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −192.7%, n=68 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.1% over 23 fills); −$47.1K lifetime P&L, $3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.