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Trader profile

QMG-CORE

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$122.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate76.8%418 settled · past 90 days191 open · 18% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$17.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded678Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.9% / $95% interval −155.6% to +129.7%251 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−9.7%n=155 settled
Politics
−18.5%n=69 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 76.8% · Decided 418 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$326K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$26.9K
Concentration
6.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
193
Showing the largest 8 of 193
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$21.5KPnL+$1.5KAvg92.5¢Current99.3¢21,634.8Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$19.4KPnL+$13.1KAvg20.9¢Current64.5¢30,000.02Shares
New pandemic in 2026?
NoValue$14.3KPnL+$582Avg90.7¢Current94.5¢15,153.72Shares
Trump out as President before 2027?
NoValue$12.4KPnL+$502Avg91.6¢Current95.5¢13,000.42Shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
NoValue$11.7KPnL+$690Avg93.5¢Current99.4¢11,788.94Shares
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
NoValue$11.5KPnL+$480Avg92.3¢Current96.3¢11,920.06Shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
NoValue$11.3KPnL+$260Avg92.3¢Current94.5¢11,999.96Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$10.4KPnL+$4.3KAvg20.3¢Current34.5¢30,000.17Shares
Showing 8 of 193 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet QMG-CORE: 76.8% win rate over 418 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −12.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −155.6%, n=251 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−9.7% over 155 fills); +$122.8K lifetime P&L, $17.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.