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Trader profile

AssuredAdverts

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$1.4MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell splitLoading trading flow…0 open · 10 days ago
Lifetime volume$5.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded44Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.9% / $95% interval −85.2% to +49.3%11 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−17.9%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete41 minutes ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.3M
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
15
Showing the largest 8 of 15
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$0PnL−$569.8KAvg84.5¢Current674,551.9Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$101.7KAvg35.8¢Current284,405.71Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg84¢Current11.9Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$95.3KAvg35.2¢Current270,843.43Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$591Avg4.5¢Current13,010.64Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$24.6KAvg58.5¢Current42,000Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$11.9KAvg87.7¢Current13,533.62Shares
Showing 8 of 15 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet AssuredAdverts: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −17.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −85.2%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−17.9% over 11 fills); −$1.4M lifetime P&L, $5.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.