PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xca4e…f97e

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$60.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet1 open · 100% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$814.3K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded287Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−15.5% / $95% interval −40.9% to +9.9%31 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−15.5%n=31 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$1.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$215.2K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
153
Showing the largest 8 of 153
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Buenos Aires 2: Facundo Mena vs Guido Justo
Guido Justo · NoValue$1.9KPnL−$25Avg39¢Current38.5¢4,905.3Shares
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)
Arkansas RazorbacksValue$0PnL−$1KAvg46.7¢Current0¢2,182.46Shares
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals
Baltimore OriolesValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg47.8¢Current0¢3,833.07Shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays · YesValue$0PnL−$430Avg43¢Current0¢999.98Shares
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves
NoValue$0PnL−$70Avg54¢Current0¢130.43Shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels · YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg42¢Current0¢3,159.33Shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox
Boston Red SoxValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg50¢Current0¢3,000Shares
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
Tennessee VolunteersValue$0PnL−$1KAvg28.6¢Current0¢3,642.06Shares
Showing 8 of 153 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xca4e92ce46d71a9fad74805470a84ee3d576f97e: edge −15.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −40.9%, n=31 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−15.5% over 31 fills); −$60.6K lifetime P&L, $814.3K traded, updated 2026-09-23.