PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

LMVM

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$21.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet4 open · 95% underwater · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded734Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+14.0% / $95% interval −20.1% to +48.1%30 settled fills · 90d window
Science
+22.2%n=27 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 days ago
Current position value
$155
Snapshot cash PnL
−$672
Concentration
55.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
43
Showing the largest 8 of 43
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 20?
YesValue$86PnL+$0.11Avg14¢Current14¢612.25Shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 20?
YesValue$40PnL+$0.25Avg12.9¢Current13¢305.07Shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 20?
YesValue$28PnL−$6Avg13.9¢Current11.5¢243.97Shares
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 21?
NoValue$2PnL−$0.32Avg69¢Current59¢3.23Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?
YesValue$0PnL−$13Avg19¢Current0¢66.44Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 16?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg29.6¢Current0¢15.38Shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 5?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.05Avg0.2¢Current0¢25Shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 12?
YesValue$0PnL−$5Avg7.1¢Current0¢67.43Shares
Showing 8 of 43 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet LMVM: edge +14.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −20.1%, n=30 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (+22.2% over 27 fills); +$21.8K lifetime P&L, $1.1M traded, updated 2026-09-20.