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Trader profile

Aragorn-II

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$26.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet35 open · 30% underwater · 22 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded959Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$22.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$518
Concentration
13.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
48
Showing the largest 8 of 48
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
NoValue$3KPnL+$509Avg77.6¢Current93.5¢3,199.97Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$316Avg75.3¢Current85.5¢3,100Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$1.7KPnL+$76Avg83.5¢Current87.5¢1,900Shares
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$339Avg68.8¢Current87.5¢1,808.51Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$9Avg99.3¢Current100¢1,400Shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$64Avg91.6¢Current96.9¢1,201.98Shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?
NoValue$929PnL+$74Avg78.7¢Current85.5¢1,086.65Shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$842PnL+$169Avg74.8¢Current93.5¢900Shares
Showing 8 of 48 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Aragorn-II: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$26.9K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.