PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Avamax

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$9.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate72.9%521 settled · past 180 days58 open · 43% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$18.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded231Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.9% / $95% interval −115.0% to +103.2%219 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−2.0%n=38 settled
Finance
−2.6%n=106 settled
Crypto
−10.7%n=75 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 72.9% · Decided 521 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$1.2M
Snapshot cash PnL
+$5.5K
Concentration
43.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
59
Showing the largest 8 of 59
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
NoValue$535.4KPnL+$4.4KAvg95.3¢Current96.1¢557,448.88Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
NoValue$114.8KPnL+$3.2KAvg96.8¢Current99.6¢115,280.04Shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
NoValue$83.3KPnL+$1.3KAvg90¢Current91.5¢91,072.06Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
NoValue$70.3KPnL+$1.5KAvg97.5¢Current99.7¢70,556.34Shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
NoValue$63.1KPnL+$5.7KAvg87.8¢Current96.7¢65,240.57Shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
NoValue$53.5KPnL+$834Avg97.9¢Current99.5¢53,753.4Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
NoValue$51.6KPnL+$2.7KAvg84.8¢Current89.5¢57,627.71Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$40.1KPnL−$3.8KAvg93.6¢Current85.5¢46,908.14Shares
Showing 8 of 59 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Avamax: 72.9% win rate over 521 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −5.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −115.0%, n=219 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−2.0% over 38 fills); +$9.2K lifetime P&L, $18.6M traded, updated 2026-09-22.