PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xc978…aa84

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$9.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate86.1%201 settled · past 180 days22 open · 47% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$713K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded239Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.7% / $95% interval −436.1% to +410.6%10 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 86.1% · Decided 201 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$21.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$518
Concentration
61.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
24
Showing the largest 8 of 24
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$13.2KPnL+$1.3KAvg83.1¢Current92.5¢14,309.79Shares
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$313Avg80¢Current100¢1,563.25Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$1.5KPnL+$13Avg98.3¢Current99.2¢1,536.48Shares
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YesValue$1KPnL+$58Avg78.8¢Current83.5¢1,226.09Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$804PnL−$200Avg87.1¢Current69.8¢1,152.4Shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$686PnL+$179Avg70.1¢Current94.8¢723.26Shares
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$434PnL+$75Avg73.7¢Current89¢487.51Shares
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$432PnL−$2Avg93¢Current92.5¢467.24Shares
Showing 8 of 24 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xc978d79d951231917f3ac4673bb74f28e7bdaa84: 86.1% win rate over 201 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −12.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −436.1%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days); +$9.3K lifetime P&L, $713K traded, updated 2026-09-22.