PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xc961…db04

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$7.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…6 open · 100% underwater · 13 hours ago
Lifetime volume$223K343 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded104Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.6% / $95% interval −499.0% to +477.7%19 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$2.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.4K
Concentration
64.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
6
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
NoValue$1.7KPnL−$1.4KAvg26¢Current14.5¢12,000Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
YesValue$464PnL−$550Avg18.6¢Current8.5¢5,458.36Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
YesValue$216PnL−$4.6KAvg55¢Current2.5¢8,800Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
YesValue$171PnL−$819Avg55¢Current9.5¢1,799.99Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
YesValue$71PnL−$30Avg15¢Current10.5¢675Shares
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$23PnL−$22Avg3¢Current1.6¢1,500Shares
All 6 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xc961dc05fc00fe86a8d7be9b79a78b62e678db04: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −10.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −499.0%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days); +$7.1K lifetime P&L, $223K traded, updated 2026-09-23.