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Trader profile

SpainML

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.7MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rateNot measured yet0 open · 17 days ago
Lifetime volume$4.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−40.1% / $95% interval −56.2% to −23.9%85 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−40.1%n=85 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.9M
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
2
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
United States · YesValue$0PnL−$580.5KAvg52.8¢Current1,098,932.07Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1.3MAvg41¢Current3,199,999.82Shares
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet SpainML: edge −40.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −56.2%, n=85 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−40.1% over 85 fills); −$1.7M lifetime P&L, $4.7M traded, updated 2026-09-21.