PolyTrace
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Trader profile

betwick

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$674.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50%36 settled · past 90 days23 open · 54% underwater · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$38.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded235Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+12.6% / $95% interval −47.5% to +72.6%167 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+12.5%n=80 settled
Finance
+10.3%n=80 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50% · Decided 36 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$295.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$402K
Concentration
28.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
43
Showing the largest 8 of 43
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$84KPnL+$8.5KAvg85.8¢Current95.6¢87,951.33Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$49.8KPnL+$12.1KAvg49.6¢Current65.5¢75,957.45Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$41.7KPnL+$4.5KAvg62¢Current69.5¢60,000.01Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
YesValue$35KPnL+$4.5KAvg61¢Current70¢50,000Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$19.5KPnL+$1.8KAvg85¢Current93.5¢20,838Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$17.4KPnL+$4.1KAvg51¢Current66.5¢26,204.4Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
YesValue$11.7KPnL+$1.3KAvg75¢Current84.5¢13,804.95Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$9KPnL+$2.1KAvg32.2¢Current41.9¢21,379.37Shares
Showing 8 of 43 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet betwick: 50% win rate over 36 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +12.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −47.5%, n=167 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+12.5% over 80 fills); +$674.5K lifetime P&L, $38.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.