PolyTrace
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Trader profile

BrightStars

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$415.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…8 open · 54% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$27.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded173Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−28.6% / $95% interval −155.4% to +98.1%223 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−28.6%n=223 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$767.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$418.9K
Concentration
75.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
54
Showing the largest 8 of 54
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$582.7KPnL+$215.5KAvg50¢Current79.4¢734,337Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$151.6KPnL−$215.5KAvg50¢Current20.7¢734,337Shares
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
NoValue$28.4KPnL+$829Avg94.6¢Current97.5¢29,124.71Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YesValue$2.4KPnL−$38.1KAvg11¢Current0.7¢367,718.02Shares
US recession by end of 2026?
NoValue$2.2KPnL−$12Avg92¢Current91.5¢2,424.37Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
YesValue$340PnL−$420Avg19¢Current8.5¢4,000Shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
NoValue$25PnL+$9Avg57.4¢Current87.5¢28.75Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
YesValue$25PnL−$3.6KAvg7.4¢Current0.1¢49,254.14Shares
Showing 8 of 54 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet BrightStars: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −28.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −155.4%, n=223 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−28.6% over 223 fills); +$415.7K lifetime P&L, $27.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.