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Trader profile

lucidarderi

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$14.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rateTrade history could not be loaded0 open · 11 days ago
Lifetime volume$974.5K41 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded7Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−43.7% / $95% interval −64.8% to −22.7%36 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−22.5%n=22 settled
Unmapped
−48.3%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Settled-position history could not be loaded.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$201.8K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
4
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$130KAvg46¢Current282,600Shares
Coco Gauff · YesValue$0PnL−$49.5KAvg57.7¢Current85,880Shares
Chelsea FC · YesValue$0PnL−$12KAvg60¢Current20,000Shares
Chelsea FC · YesValue$0PnL−$10.3KAvg36.9¢Current27,979.48Shares
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lucidarderi: edge −43.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −64.8%, n=36 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−22.5% over 22 fills); +$14.9K lifetime P&L, $974.5K traded, updated 2026-09-24.