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Trader profile

ZiK.

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$27.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate38.4%328 settled · past 180 days39 open · 71% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded446Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.5% / $95% interval −234.6% to +207.6%30 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−1.2%n=13 settled
Sports
−15.8%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 38.4% · Decided 328 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$29.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1K
Concentration
58.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
45
Showing the largest 8 of 45
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$17.2KPnL−$497Avg42.7¢Current41.5¢41,499.97Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$6.3KPnL+$148Avg41.1¢Current42.1¢14,999.85Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
YesValue$888PnL+$55Avg53.5¢Current57¢1,557.28Shares
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?
YesValue$736PnL−$71Avg14.6¢Current13.4¢5,509.34Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$581PnL+$215Avg36.6¢Current58.1¢1,000.01Shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
NoValue$552PnL+$161Avg22.8¢Current32.1¢1,719.38Shares
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
YesValue$423PnL+$1Avg70.3¢Current70.5¢599.98Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$315PnL−$45Avg36¢Current31.5¢1,000Shares
Showing 8 of 45 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ZiK.: 38.4% win rate over 328 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −13.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −234.6%, n=30 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−1.2% over 13 fills); +$27.3K lifetime P&L, $2.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.