PolyTrace
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Trader profile

dips.

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$24.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54%3,252 settled · past 180 days122 open · 33% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$9.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,665Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+124.2% / $95% interval −60.7% to +309.0%370 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+126.0%n=366 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54% · Decided 3,252 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$27.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1.2K
Concentration
18.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
171
Showing the largest 8 of 171
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: EXODIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs
Yawara Esports · NoValue$5.2KPnL−$56Avg95.5¢Current94.5¢5,503.29Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$4.1KPnL+$1.9KAvg34.9¢Current65.5¢6,258.05Shares
Will the match end in a draw?
NoValue$2.6KPnL+$121Avg86.3¢Current90.5¢2,897.27Shares
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$1.4KPnL−$23Avg64.9¢Current63.9¢2,164.13Shares
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$124Avg60.4¢Current66.5¢2,037.72Shares
Will India A win?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$235Avg72.5¢Current89.5¢1,384.71Shares
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
NoValue$1.1KPnL−$73Avg97.8¢Current91.6¢1,172.08Shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?
NoValue$966PnL+$58Avg92.7¢Current98.6¢980.18Shares
Showing 8 of 171 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet dips.: 54% win rate over 3,252 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +124.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −60.7%, n=370 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+126.0% over 366 fills); −$24.3K lifetime P&L, $9.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.