PolyTrace
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Trader profile

tourists

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$611.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate81.2%138 settled · past 90 days28 open · 33% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$66.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded284Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.4% / $95% interval −69.8% to +61.0%198 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+7.4%n=48 settled
Politics
0.0%n=87 settled
Sports
−5.1%n=26 settled
Tech
−19.6%n=31 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 81.2% · Decided 138 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$362.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$19.2K
Concentration
23.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
33
Showing the largest 8 of 33
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$84KPnL+$8.3KAvg89.6¢Current99.4¢84,527.06Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
NoValue$71.2KPnL+$1.1KAvg92.3¢Current93.8¢75,999.41Shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
NoValue$57.5KPnL+$865Avg92.1¢Current93.5¢61,514.21Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
NoValue$37KPnL+$1.8KAvg88¢Current92.5¢39,999.96Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$30.9KPnL+$1.6KAvg82¢Current86.5¢35,766.39Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$24.9KPnL+$1.9KAvg80¢Current86.5¢28,741.53Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$11.5KPnL+$353Avg96.2¢Current99.3¢11,584.22Shares
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$9.6KPnL+$1.2KAvg84¢Current96.1¢10,000Shares
Showing 8 of 33 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tourists: 81.2% win rate over 138 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −4.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −69.8%, n=198 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+7.4% over 48 fills); +$611.1K lifetime P&L, $66.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.