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Trader profile

RoadTo1MillionUsd

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$85.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate35.1%910 settled · past 180 days2 open · 100% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,070Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−29.2% / $95% interval −265.4% to +207.0%56 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−29.2%n=56 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 35.1% · Decided 910 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$46
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.9K
Concentration
99.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
23
Showing the largest 8 of 23
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
FURIA · NoValue$46PnL−$6Avg35.8¢Current31.5¢147.1Shares
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-09-20?
YesValue$0.08PnL−$64Avg40¢Current0.1¢159.05Shares
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs GamerLegion (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
GamerLegion · NoValue$0PnL−$32Avg47¢Current0¢68.19Shares
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
TYLOO · NoValue$0PnL−$49Avg56¢Current0¢87.27Shares
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner
Kiwoom DRXValue$0PnL−$100Avg50¢Current0¢200.12Shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers · YesValue$0PnL−$515Avg52¢Current0¢990.38Shares
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In
HANJIN BRION · YesValue$0PnL−$145Avg54¢Current0¢268.44Shares
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds · NoValue$0PnL−$94Avg47¢Current0¢200.96Shares
Showing 8 of 23 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet RoadTo1MillionUsd: 35.1% win rate over 910 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −29.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −265.4%, n=56 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−29.2% over 56 fills); −$85.1K lifetime P&L, $2.4M traded, updated 2026-09-20.