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Trader profile

greyoctober

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$422.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate64.8%176 settled · past 90 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$23.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded348Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+25.4% / $95% interval +2.4% to +48.5%48 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+25.4%n=48 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 64.8% · Decided 176 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$518.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
69
Showing the largest 8 of 69
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs
NAVI Junior · NoValue$0PnL−$267Avg55¢Current0¢485.03Shares
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winner
Sentinels · YesValue$0PnL−$17.3KAvg58¢Current0¢29,750Shares
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
FlyQuest · YesValue$0PnL−$752Avg47¢Current0¢1,600Shares
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
NRG · NoValue$0PnL−$279Avg59.7¢Current0¢466.16Shares
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
BBL Esports · YesValue$0PnL−$21Avg43¢Current0¢48.98Shares
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha
FURIA Esports · NoValue$0PnL−$1Avg21¢Current0¢6.32Shares
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs
MOUZ · NoValue$0PnL−$18.6KAvg34.7¢Current0¢53,530.44Shares
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins
Eintracht Frankfurt · NoValue$0PnL−$2.2KAvg41.5¢Current0¢5,193.99Shares
Showing 8 of 69 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet greyoctober: 64.8% win rate over 176 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +25.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +2.4%, n=48 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+25.4% over 48 fills); +$422.6K lifetime P&L, $23.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.