PolyTrace
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Trader profile

HowToBasic

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate77%492 settled · past 180 days4 open · 25% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$4.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,903Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−18.3% / $95% interval −555.5% to +519.0%20 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−21.1%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 77% · Decided 492 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$1.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.4K
Concentration
70.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$781PnL+$481Avg36.3¢Current94.6¢825.74Shares
YesValue$217PnL+$17Avg92¢Current100¢217.39Shares
NoValue$86PnL−$168Avg54.5¢Current18.5¢465.33Shares
NoValue$30PnL+$7Avg65.7¢Current87.3¢34.7Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg87.4¢Current1,276.73Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg86.7¢Current57.66Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg77.1¢Current2,008.94Shares
Marco Cecchinato · NoValue$0PnL−$4Avg33¢Current12.12Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet HowToBasic: 77% win rate over 492 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −18.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −555.5%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−21.1% over 11 fills); +$5K lifetime P&L, $4.2M traded, updated 2026-09-22.