PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Bperil

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$23.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.3%438 settled · past 90 days104 open · 3% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,749Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.8% / $95% interval −397.6% to +388.0%10 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.3% · Decided 438 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$27.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$3.4K
Concentration
14.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
107
Showing the largest 8 of 107
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$4KPnL+$664Avg51.4¢Current61.5¢6,567.53Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$2.4KPnL+$875Avg36.7¢Current58¢4,099.97Shares
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$242Avg61.7¢Current72¢2,349.52Shares
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$163Avg65.2¢Current72.5¢2,224.19Shares
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$176Avg54.4¢Current63.5¢1,931.35Shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$239Avg49.4¢Current61.5¢1,969.45Shares
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$148Avg54.5¢Current62.5¢1,836.36Shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$977PnL+$128Avg33.3¢Current38.4¢2,547.96Shares
Showing 8 of 107 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Bperil: 52.3% win rate over 438 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −4.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −397.6%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days); +$23.2K lifetime P&L, $2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.