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Trader profile

1111416

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded420Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−38.9% / $95% interval −546.8% to +469.0%43 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−37.8%n=42 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
91
Showing the largest 8 of 91
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 15?
YesValue$0PnL−$63Avg19.3¢Current0¢325.19Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4?
YesValue$0PnL−$20Avg1¢Current0¢1,999.97Shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?
YesValue$0PnL−$18Avg8¢Current0¢229Shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 3?
YesValue$0PnL−$6Avg0.9¢Current0¢660Shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 18?
YesValue$0PnL−$43Avg1.8¢Current0¢2,396.97Shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 26?
YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg3.3¢Current0¢300.5Shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 22?
YesValue$0PnL−$41Avg12¢Current0¢343.08Shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 22?
YesValue$0PnL−$76Avg48.3¢Current0¢157.53Shares
Showing 8 of 91 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 1111416: edge −38.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −546.8%, n=43 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−37.8% over 42 fills); +$4K lifetime P&L, $1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.