PolyTrace
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Trader profile

watcherz88

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$465.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6M923 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded58Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.9% / $95% interval −58.7% to +34.9%326 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−11.9%n=326 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$987.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
17
Showing the largest 8 of 17
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
M25 Sapporo: Keisuke Saitoh vs Seongchan Hong
Seongchan Hong · NoValue$0PnL−$38.9KAvg46.1¢Current0¢84,217.54Shares
Piracicaba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Joaquin Aguilar
Juan Bautista Torres · YesValue$0PnL−$23.8KAvg39.5¢Current0¢60,222.6Shares
Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato
Maximo Zeitune · YesValue$0PnL−$40.1KAvg77.7¢Current0¢51,577.39Shares
Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov
Luca Castelnuovo · YesValue$0PnL−$25.9KAvg67.4¢Current0¢38,460.81Shares
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Max Basing vs Remy Bertola
Remy Bertola · NoValue$0PnL−$60KAvg76.5¢Current0¢78,517.29Shares
Szczecin: Tiago Pereira vs Filip Pieczonka
Tiago Pereira · YesValue$0PnL−$69.7KAvg68.1¢Current0¢102,286.67Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrov
Jakub Mensik · YesValue$0PnL−$35KAvg42.4¢Current0¢82,576.27Shares
ITF Kamen: Valentina Ivanov vs Eva Marie Voracek
Eva Marie Voracek · NoValue$0PnL−$10.3KAvg60¢Current0¢17,096.36Shares
Showing 8 of 17 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet watcherz88: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −11.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −58.7%, n=326 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.9% over 326 fills); −$465.8K lifetime P&L, $6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.