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Trader profile

Holtur95

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$54.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rateOnly 13 settled so far0 open · 23 days ago
Lifetime volume$350.9K20 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded13Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.1% / $95% interval −41.7% to +3.4%21 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−19.1%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$75K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
5
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Luis Guto Miguel · NoValue$0PnL−$21.7KAvg52.4¢Current41,427.02Shares
Novak Djokovic · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg53¢Current188.68Shares
Jacob Fearnley · YesValue$0PnL−$13KAvg55.6¢Current23,399.8Shares
Christopher O'Connell · NoValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg63.2¢Current1,981.99Shares
Nikola Bartunkova · YesValue$0PnL−$38.9KAvg53.8¢Current72,451.94Shares
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Holtur95: edge −19.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −41.7%, n=21 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−19.1% over 21 fills); −$54.8K lifetime P&L, $350.9K traded, updated 2026-09-23.