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Trader profile

ELIENMUSK

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$21.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 17 days ago
Lifetime volume$5.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded713Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−64.3% / $95% interval −473.2% to +344.6%27 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−64.3%n=27 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$9.1K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
125
Showing the largest 8 of 125
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?
YesValue$0PnL−$36Avg0.9¢Current0¢4,051.31Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg0.4¢Current0¢343.64Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16?
YesValue$0PnL−$28Avg2.2¢Current0¢1,242.04Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20?
NoValue$0PnL−$70Avg2.2¢Current0¢3,238.84Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 23?
NoValue$0PnL−$25Avg5.1¢Current0¢489.48Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?
NoValue$0PnL−$59Avg0.6¢Current0¢9,969.39Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 24?
NoValue$0PnL−$43Avg2.1¢Current0¢2,005.84Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 27?
YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg0.5¢Current0¢9,560.91Shares
Showing 8 of 125 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ELIENMUSK: edge −64.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −473.2%, n=27 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−64.3% over 27 fills); −$21.4K lifetime P&L, $5.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.