PolyTrace
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Trader profile

datajesse

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet2 open · 98% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded868Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.2% / $95% interval −59.4% to +39.0%12 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$2.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$111K
Concentration
75.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
200
Showing the largest 8 of 200
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$1.7KPnL−$1.8KAvg86.6¢Current42.1¢4,114.57Shares
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
NoValue$553PnL+$38Avg91.6¢Current98.3¢562.91Shares
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw?
YesValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg37.6¢Current0¢4,405.43Shares
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NoValue$0PnL−$677Avg21.6¢Current0¢3,125.36Shares
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$121Avg12.6¢Current0¢952.88Shares
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$192Avg7¢Current0¢2,749.67Shares
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?
NoValue$0PnL−$199Avg38.4¢Current0¢520.07Shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$555Avg79¢Current0¢701.96Shares
Showing 8 of 200 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet datajesse: edge −10.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −59.4%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days); −$7.7K lifetime P&L, $2.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.