PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xc3db…0f98

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$113.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…36 open · 72% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded422Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.3% / $95% interval −124.6% to +112.0%108 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+4.0%n=72 settled
Sports
−28.9%n=28 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$75.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$9.5K
Concentration
19.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
36
Showing the largest 8 of 36
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$15.1KPnL+$4.4KAvg66.3¢Current93.5¢16,130.85Shares
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
NoValue$13.1KPnL−$2Avg88.5¢Current88.5¢14,808.15Shares
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
NoValue$7.7KPnL−$2.7KAvg47.9¢Current35.5¢21,557.88Shares
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
NoValue$5.5KPnL+$101Avg74.6¢Current76¢7,209.45Shares
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
NoValue$4.6KPnL+$167Avg80¢Current83¢5,555Shares
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
NoValue$4.2KPnL+$57Avg96¢Current97.3¢4,356.04Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
NoValue$2.7KPnL−$672Avg34.9¢Current28¢9,759.74Shares
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
NoValue$2.4KPnL−$6Avg98.9¢Current98.6¢2,456.83Shares
Showing 8 of 36 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xc3db6a07351313cc684759dee1722d2bb1e90f98: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −6.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −124.6%, n=108 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+4.0% over 72 fills); +$113.1K lifetime P&L, $3.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.