PolyTrace
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Trader profile

onthewave

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate65.2%112 settled · past 180 days31 open · 11% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$625.6K513 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded216Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 65.2% · Decided 112 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$10.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$804
Concentration
10.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
31
Showing the largest 8 of 31
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$66Avg93.5¢Current99.3¢1,144.16Shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$527Avg21.4¢Current41.5¢2,617.91Shares
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$1KPnL+$36Avg94¢Current97.4¢1,063.95Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$825PnL+$25Avg93¢Current95.9¢860.35Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$516PnL+$16Avg96.6¢Current99.8¢517.6Shares
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$483PnL+$33Avg80.5¢Current86.5¢558.82Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$436PnL+$32Avg91¢Current98.2¢444.36Shares
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
NoValue$267PnL+$17Avg86¢Current92¢290.7Shares
Showing 8 of 31 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet onthewave: 65.2% win rate over 112 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$5.2K lifetime P&L, $625.6K traded, updated 2026-09-22.