PolyTrace
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Trader profile

euro-catcher

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$182.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47%2,802 settled · past 90 days25 open · 68% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$9.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded657Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.1% / $95% interval −39.8% to +37.5%376 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+6.5%n=277 settled
Politics
−2.8%n=10 settled
Finance
−13.7%n=79 settled
Unmapped
−40.0%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47% · Decided 2,802 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$18.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$634.9K
Concentration
43.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,075
Showing the largest 8 of 1,075
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$8KPnL+$1.1KAvg50.5¢Current58.8¢13,538Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$338Avg52¢Current59.5¢4,500Shares
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YesValue$2.4KPnL−$86Avg23¢Current22.2¢10,668.99Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$436Avg39.8¢Current64.5¢1,763Shares
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$883PnL+$245Avg56¢Current77.5¢1,139Shares
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?
NoValue$768PnL+$31Avg81.1¢Current84.5¢909Shares
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?
YesValue$767PnL−$1.2KAvg15.7¢Current6¢12,775Shares
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 3 Winner
Luminosity · YesValue$480PnL−$216Avg50¢Current34.5¢1,391Shares
Showing 8 of 1,075 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet euro-catcher: 47% win rate over 2,802 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −1.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −39.8%, n=376 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+6.5% over 277 fills); −$182.1K lifetime P&L, $9.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.