PolyTrace
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Trader profile

sport-intelligence

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$123.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.6%229 settled · past 90 days1 open · 100% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.7M306 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded238Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.9% / $95% interval −38.5% to +14.7%394 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−10.0%n=379 settled
Unmapped
−23.0%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.6% · Decided 229 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$165
Snapshot cash PnL
−$684.4K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
121
Showing the largest 8 of 121
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$165PnL−$335Avg18.9¢Current6.3¢2,640.79Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg47¢Current6,382.98Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg20.3¢Current9,831.64Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$6KAvg47.2¢Current12,698.9Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg49.3¢Current4,057.76Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$50KAvg37¢Current135,135.14Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$5KAvg57.6¢Current8,673.75Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$10KAvg51.8¢Current19,294.99Shares
Showing 8 of 121 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet sport-intelligence: 47.6% win rate over 229 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −11.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −38.5%, n=394 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−10.0% over 379 fills); −$123.6K lifetime P&L, $3.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.