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Trader profile

Voland6777

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$2.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…20 open · 83% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$267.2K558 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded23Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.4% / $95% interval −118.0% to +79.1%10 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−19.4%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$13.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.2K
Concentration
30.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
21
Showing the largest 8 of 21
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$4.1KPnL+$21Avg60.2¢Current60.5¢6,750.04Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
NoValue$2.6KPnL−$240Avg30¢Current27.5¢9,600Shares
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$1.5KAvg26.4¢Current99.6¢2,115.69Shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$102Avg55.8¢Current61.5¢1,792.54Shares
Blue tsunami in 2026?
YesValue$531PnL+$11Avg51.9¢Current53¢1,001.18Shares
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$421PnL−$5Avg47¢Current46.5¢906Shares
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$387PnL+$276Avg28.6¢Current100¢387.36Shares
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
NoValue$380PnL+$31Avg77.6¢Current84.5¢450.06Shares
Showing 8 of 21 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Voland6777: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −19.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −118.0%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−19.4% over 10 fills); −$2.1K lifetime P&L, $267.2K traded, updated 2026-09-24.