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Trader profile

KetelOne

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$4.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.4%64 settled · past 180 days0 open · 16 days ago
Lifetime volume$610.8K461 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded52Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.3% / $95% interval −322.6% to +278.0%51 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−15.9%n=46 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.4% · Decided 64 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$48.3K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
25
Showing the largest 8 of 25
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)
Real Salt Lake · YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg33.3¢Current0¢4,509.16Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$425Avg40.4¢Current0¢1,050.87Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$550Avg50.9¢Current0¢1,081.14Shares
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners · YesValue$0PnL−$4.3KAvg6.3¢Current0¢68,963.66Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$455Avg45.2¢Current0¢1,006.76Shares
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
Los Angeles Dodgers · YesValue$0PnL−$3.5KAvg46¢Current0¢7,608.7Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
DownValue$0PnL−$241Avg24.5¢Current0¢983.83Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
DownValue$0PnL−$125Avg15.5¢Current0¢808.44Shares
Showing 8 of 25 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet KetelOne: 48.4% win rate over 64 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −22.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −322.6%, n=51 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−15.9% over 46 fills); +$4.8K lifetime P&L, $610.8K traded, updated 2026-09-20.