PolyTrace
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Trader profile

makinta

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$45.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate75.5%143 settled · past 180 days12 open · 69% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$12.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded184Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.7% / $95% interval −3.9% to +11.4%417 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+8.2%n=251 settled
Sports
+4.6%n=129 settled
Finance
−13.7%n=25 settled
Crypto
−22.4%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 75.5% · Decided 143 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$78.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$258.5K
Concentration
31.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
29
Showing the largest 8 of 29
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$24.9KPnL+$1.6KAvg93¢Current99.5¢25,000Shares
NoValue$14.6KPnL+$118Avg96.7¢Current97.5¢14,999.94Shares
NoValue$11KPnL+$237Avg97.8¢Current100¢11,000Shares
NoValue$9.1KPnL−$285Avg94.3¢Current91.5¢10,000Shares
YesValue$8.8KPnL−$350Avg91¢Current87.5¢10,000Shares
NoValue$4.8KPnL+$15Avg95.1¢Current95.4¢4,999.97Shares
NoValue$4KPnL+$456Avg88¢Current99.3¢4,056.91Shares
NoValue$598PnL+$35Avg91.8¢Current97.5¢613.16Shares
Showing 8 of 29 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet makinta: 75.5% win rate over 143 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +3.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −3.9%, n=417 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+8.2% over 251 fills); +$45.7K lifetime P&L, $12.7M traded, updated 2026-09-22.